Duke
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 98.6179Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 202 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 5-11, 88.9) 23- 8 206 H Utah ASUN ( 9- 5, 95.2) 14- 7 215 H Vermont America Eas ( 7- 7, 91.8) 22- 6 221 H Jacksonville ASUN (10- 5, 95.9) 16-10 301 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7- 6, 95.1) 12- 6 307 A Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.3) 21- 6 314 N Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 92.5) 21- 5 322 H Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 94.7) 8- 7 328 A Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 98.6) 15-16 404 H Virginia ACC (10- 6, 98.6) 10-14 411 N Cornell Ivy (11- 4, 98.4) 7- 9 418 H Notre Dame ACC (10- 2, 99.9) 6- 7 425 A North Carolina ACC (12- 4, 98.7) 16-12
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
202 H Bellarmine 23- 8 15 11 0.00
206 H Utah 14- 7 7 5 + 2.16
215 H Vermont 22- 6 16 8 0.00
221 H Jacksonville 16-10 6 4 1.88
301 H St Josephs (PA) 12- 6 6 5 1.11
307 A Air Force 21- 6 15 6 1.09
314 N Providence 21- 5 16 6 0.92
322 H Denver 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.34
328 A Syracuse 15-16 -1 -1 0.40
404 H Virginia 10-14 -4 1 -- -5.38
411 N Cornell 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.20
418 H Notre Dame 6- 7 -1 0 -1.09
425 A North Carolina 16-12 4 -1 ++ 5.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Denver 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.34 404 H Virginia 10-14 -4 1 -- -5.38 411 N Cornell 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A North Carolina 16-12 4 -1 ++ 5.46 206 H Utah 14- 7 7 5 + 2.16 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Bellarmine ( 5-11, 88.9) 23- 8 -11.03 9.57 -1.38 1.10 18.04
3 H Utah ( 9- 5, 95.2) 14- 7 -4.74 15.85 -1.38 1.10 31.88
3 H Vermont ( 7- 7, 91.8) 22- 6 -8.08 12.51 -1.38 1.10 24.53
3 H Jacksonville (10- 5, 95.9) 16-10 -4.03 16.57 -1.38 1.10 33.45
3 H St Josephs (PA ( 7- 6, 95.1) 12- 6 -4.80 15.80 -1.38 1.10 31.75
3 A Air Force ( 7- 8, 91.3) 21- 6 -8.57 12.03 1.38 1.10 29.52
3 N Providence ( 8- 9, 92.5) 21- 5 -7.36 13.24 -0.00 1.10 29.14
3 H Denver ( 6- 8, 94.7) 8- 7 -5.25 15.35 -1.38 1.10 30.77
3 A Syracuse (11- 5, 98.6) 15-16 -1.26 19.34 1.38 1.10 -0.07
3 H Virginia (10- 6, 98.6) 10-14 -1.29 19.31 -1.38 1.10 -1.47
3 N Cornell (11- 4, 98.4) 7- 9 -1.48 19.11 -0.00 1.10 -0.82
3 H Notre Dame (10- 2, 99.9) 6- 7 -0.00 20.60 -1.38 1.10 -0.76
3 A North Carolina (12- 4, 98.7) 16-12 -1.19 19.40 1.38 1.10 45.75
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271.73
|
winning pts = 274.8354 losing points = -3.1064
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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